ISSN: 2322-0066

All submissions of the EM system will be redirected to Online Manuscript Submission System. Authors are requested to submit articles directly to Online Manuscript Submission System of respective journal.

Research Article Open Access

Logistic Formula in Biology and Its Application to COVID-19 in Japan

Abstract

A logistic formula in biology is applied to analyze the second and third waves of COVID-19 in Japan. We follow the observation that the removed number R(t) in the SIR model behaves like the population in biology. The logistic formula for R(t) is applied to predict the peaked date of infectious number and its total removed number for each wave. The second wave started from July 20, 2020, and peaked at Aug 17 with its total removed number 22536 ± 568. The third wave started from Oct 11, 2020, and peaked at Jan 17 with its total removed number 175165 ± 1657. These calculated values agree well with actual data.

Akira Kokado,Takesi Saito

To read the full article Download Full Article

sirinevler escort

paper.io

agar io

wormax io